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COVID-19 disease in hospitalized young adults in India and China: Evaluation of risk factors predicting progression across two major ethnic groups

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单位: [1]All India Inst Med Sci, Dept Otorhinolaryngol, Delhi, India [2]Nottingham Univ Hosp, Dept Neurol, Nottingham, England [3]Univ Leicester, Leicester Royal Infirm, Cardiovasc Sci, Leicester, Leics, England [4]All India Inst Med Sci, Dept Med, Delhi, India [5]Wuhan Univ, Zhongnan Hosp, Dept Allergy, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [6]Lincoln Cty Hosp, Dept Internal Med, Lincoln, England [7]All India Inst Med Sci, Dept Oncoanaesthesia, Delhi, India [8]All India Inst Med Sci, Dept Pulm Med, Delhi, India [9]All India Inst Med Sci, Dept Microbiol, Delhi, India [10]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Med Coll,Tongji Hosp,Dept Neurol,Wuhan,Hubei,Peoples R China
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关键词: COVID-19 lymphocyte lymphopenia NEWS NEWS2 prognostic factors SARS-CoV-2

摘要:
Data pertaining to risk factor analysis in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is confounded by the lack of data from an ethnically diverse population. In addition, there is a lack of data for young adults. This study was conducted to assess risk factors predicting COVID-19 severity and mortality in hospitalized young adults. A retrospective observational study was conducted at two centers from China and India on COVID-19 patients aged 20-50 years. Regression analysis to predict adverse outcomes was performed using parameters including age, sex, country of origin, hospitalization duration, comorbidities, lymphocyte count, and National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) score at admission. A total of 420 patients (172 East Asians and 248 South Asians) were included. The predictive model for intensive care unit (ICU) admission with variables NEWS2 Category II and higher, diabetes mellitus, liver dysfunction, and low lymphocyte counts had an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.930 with a sensitivity of 0.931 and a specificity of 0.784. The predictive model for mortality with NEWS2 Category III, cancer, and decreasing lymphocyte count had an AUC value of 0.883 with a sensitivity of 0.903 and a specificity of 0.701. A combined predictive model with bronchial asthma and low lymphocyte count, in contrast, had an AUC value of 0.768 with a sensitivity of 0.828 and a specificity of 0.719 for NEWS2 score (5 or above) at presentation. NEWS2 supplemented with comorbidity profile and lymphocyte count could help identify hospitalized young adults at risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes.

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 病毒学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 病毒学
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出版当年[2020]版:
Q4 VIROLOGY
最新[2024]版:
Q1 VIROLOGY

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第一作者单位: [1]All India Inst Med Sci, Dept Otorhinolaryngol, Delhi, India
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通讯机构: [10]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Med Coll,Tongji Hosp,Dept Neurol,Wuhan,Hubei,Peoples R China [*1]SUNY Downstate Hlth Sci Univ, Dept Neurol, 450 Clarkson Ave, Brooklyn, NY 11203 USA
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