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An online tool for predicting the prognosis of cancer patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection: a multi-center study

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单位: [1]Wuhan Univ, Dept Thorac Surg, ZhongNan Hosp, 169 Donghu Rd, Wuhan 430071, Hubei, Peoples R China [2]Hubei Canc Clin Study Ctr, Hubei Key Lab Tumor Biol Behav, Wuhan, Peoples R China [3]Wuhan Univ, Canc Ctr, Renmin Hosp, 238 Jiefang Rd, Wuhan 430060, Hubei, Peoples R China [4]Wuhan Univ, Dept Urol, ZhongNan Hosp, Wuhan, Peoples R China [5]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Xiehe Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Thorac Oncol, Wuhan, Peoples R China [6]Nanjing Univ Chinese Med, Zhangjiagang Hosp TCM, Dept Obstet & Gynecol, Nanjing, Peoples R China [7]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Dept Thorac Oncol, 1095 Jiefang Ave, Wuhan 430000, Hubei, Peoples R China
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关键词: Cancer COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 Nomogram Prognosis

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Purpose During the 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, oncologists face new challenges, and they need to adjust their cancer management strategies as soon as possible to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and tumor recurrence. However, data on cancer patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection remains scarce. Methods We conducted a retrospective study on 223 cancer patients with SARS-CoV-2 from 26 hospitals in Hubei, China. An individualized nomogram was constructed based on multivariate Cox analysis. Considering the convenience of the nomogram application, an online tool was also created. The predictive performance and clinical application of nomogram were verified by C-index, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results Among cancer patients with SARS-CoV-2, there were significant differences in clinical characteristics between survivors and non-survivors, and compared with patients with solid tumors including lung cancer, patients with hematological malignancies had a worse prognosis. Male, dyspnea, elevated PCT, increased heart rate, elevated D-dimers, and decreased platelets were risk factors for these patients. Furthermore, a good prediction performance of the online tool (dynamic nomogram:) was also fully demonstrated with the C-indexes of 0.841 (95% CI 0.782-0.900) in the development cohort and 0.780 (95% CI 0.678-0.882) in the validation cohort. Conclusion Overall, cancer patients with SARS-CoV-2 had unique clinical features, and the established online tool could guide clinicians to predict the prognosis of patients during the COVID-19 epidemic and to develop more rational treatment strategies for cancer patients.

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 肿瘤学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 肿瘤学
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q2 ONCOLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q3 ONCOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2018版] 出版后一年[2020版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Wuhan Univ, Dept Thorac Surg, ZhongNan Hosp, 169 Donghu Rd, Wuhan 430071, Hubei, Peoples R China [2]Hubei Canc Clin Study Ctr, Hubei Key Lab Tumor Biol Behav, Wuhan, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]Wuhan Univ, Dept Thorac Surg, ZhongNan Hosp, 169 Donghu Rd, Wuhan 430071, Hubei, Peoples R China [2]Hubei Canc Clin Study Ctr, Hubei Key Lab Tumor Biol Behav, Wuhan, Peoples R China
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