The crude mortality rate in critical pneumonia cases with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) reaches 49%. This study aimed to test whether levels of blood urea nitrogen (BUN) in combination with D-dimer were predictors of in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients. The clinical characteristics of 305 COVID19 patients were analysed and were compared between the survivor and non-survivor groups. Of the 305 patients, 85 (27.9%) died and 220 (72.1%) were discharged from hospital. Compared with discharged cases, non-survivor cases were older and their BUN and D-dimer levels were significantly higher ( P < 0.0 0 01). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable Cox regression analyses identified BUN and D-dimer levels as independent risk factors for poor prognosis. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that elevated levels of BUN and D-dimer were associated with increased mortality (logrank, P 0.0 0 01). The area under the curve for BUN combined with D-dimer was 0.94 (95% CI 0.90-0.97), with a sensitivity of 85% and specificity of 91%. Based on BUN and D-dimer levels on admission, a nomogram model was developed that showed good discrimination, with a concordance index of 0.94. Together, initial BUN and D-dimer levels were associated with mortality in COVID-19 patients. The combination of BUN 4.6 mmol/L and D-dimer > 0.845 mu g/mL appears to identify patients at high risk of in-hospital mortality, therefore it may prove to be a powerful risk assessment tool for severe COVID-19 patients. (c) 2020 Elsevier B.V. and International Society of Chemotherapy. All rights reserved.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of P.R. ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [81800609]; HUST COVID-19 Rapid Response Call [2020kfyXGYJ015]
第一作者单位:[1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Hosp,Tongji Med Coll,Dept Nephrol,Wuhan,Peoples R China
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Hosp,Tongji Med Coll,Dept Nephrol,Wuhan,Peoples R China[2]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Hosp,Tongji Med Coll,Dept Hlth Management Ctr,Wuhan,Peoples R China[*1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol,Tongji Hosp,Tongji Med Coll,1095 Jiefang Ave,Wuhan 430030,Hubei,Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Cheng Anying,Hu Liu,Wang Yiru,et al.Diagnostic performance of initial blood urea nitrogen combined with D-dimer levels for predicting in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients[J].INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ANTIMICROBIAL AGENTS.2020,56(3):doi:10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2020.106110.
APA:
Cheng, Anying,Hu, Liu,Wang, Yiru,Huang, Luyan,Zhao, Lingxi...&Liu, Qingquan.(2020).Diagnostic performance of initial blood urea nitrogen combined with D-dimer levels for predicting in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ANTIMICROBIAL AGENTS,56,(3)
MLA:
Cheng, Anying,et al."Diagnostic performance of initial blood urea nitrogen combined with D-dimer levels for predicting in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ANTIMICROBIAL AGENTS 56..3(2020)