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Designing Predictive Models for Beta-Lactam Allergy Using the Drug Allergy and Hypersensitivity Database

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单位: [1]Univ Hosp Montpellier, Hop Arnaud de Villeneuve, Div Allergy, Dept Pulmonol, Montpellier, France [2]Sorbonne Univ, UPMC Univ Paris 06, Paris, France [3]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Med Coll, Tongji Hosp, Dept Allergy, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [4]Katholieke Univ Leuven, Dept Microbiol & Immunol, Lab Clin Immunol, Leuven, Belgium [5]Univ Hosp Montpellier, Clin Res Unit, Dept Clin Informat, Montpellier, France [6]Montpellier Univ, Montpellier, France [7]Univ Hosp Montpellier, IMAG, UMR 5149, Montpellier, France
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关键词: Allergy testing Beta-lactams Drug hypersensitivity Predictive models

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BACKGROUND: Beta-lactam antibiotics represent the main cause of allergic reactions to drugs, inducing both immediate and nonimmediate allergies. The diagnosis is well established, usually based on skin tests and drug provocation tests, but cumbersome. OBJECTIVES: To design predictive models for the diagnosis of beta-lactam allergy, based on the clinical history of patients with suspicions of allergic reactions to beta-lactams. METHODS: The study included a retrospective phase, in which records of patients explored for a suspicion of beta-lactam allergy (in the Allergy Unit of the University Hospital of Montpellier between September 1996 and September 2012) were used to construct predictive models based on a logistic regression and decision tree method; a prospective phase, in which we performed an external validation of the chosen models in patients with suspicion of beta-lactam allergy recruited from 3 allergy centers (Montpellier, Nimes, Narbonne) between March and November 2013. Data related to clinical history and allergy evaluation results were retrieved and analyzed. RESULTS: The retrospective and prospective phases included 1991 and 200 patients, respectively, with a different prevalence of confirmed beta-lactam allergy (23.6% vs 31%, P = .02). For the logistic regression method, performances of the models were similar in both samples: sensitivity was 51% (vs 60%), specificity 75% (vs 80%), positive predictive value 40% (vs 57%), and negative predictive value 83% (vs 82%). The decision tree method reached a sensitivity of 29.5% (vs 43.5%), specificity of 96.4% (vs 94.9%), positive predictive value of 71.6% (vs 79.4%), and negative predictive value of 81.6% (vs 81.3%). CONCLUSIONS: Two different independent methods using clinical history predictors were unable to accurately predict beta-lactam allergy and replace a conventional allergy evaluation for suspected beta-lactam allergy. (C) 2017 American Academy of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology

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出版当年[2017]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 过敏 2 区 免疫学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 免疫学 2 区 过敏
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出版当年[2016]版:
Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Q1 ALLERGY
最新[2024]版:
Q1 ALLERGY Q1 IMMUNOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2024版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2016版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2015版] 出版后一年[2017版]

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第一作者单位: [1]Univ Hosp Montpellier, Hop Arnaud de Villeneuve, Div Allergy, Dept Pulmonol, Montpellier, France [2]Sorbonne Univ, UPMC Univ Paris 06, Paris, France [*1]Univ Hosp Montpellier, Arnaud de Villeneuve Hosp, Allergy Unit, 371 Ave Doyen Gaston Giraud, F-34295 Montpellier 5, France
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通讯机构: [1]Univ Hosp Montpellier, Hop Arnaud de Villeneuve, Div Allergy, Dept Pulmonol, Montpellier, France [2]Sorbonne Univ, UPMC Univ Paris 06, Paris, France [*1]Univ Hosp Montpellier, Arnaud de Villeneuve Hosp, Allergy Unit, 371 Ave Doyen Gaston Giraud, F-34295 Montpellier 5, France
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