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Predictive Model of Oxaliplatin-induced Liver Injury Based on Artificial Neural Network and Logistic Regression

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单位: [1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Med Coll, Sch Pharm, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [2]Chinese Univ Hong Kong Shenzhen, Sch Med, Ciechanover Inst Precis & Regenerat Med, Shenzhen, Guangdong, Peoples R China [3]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [4]Hubei Ctr Adverse Drug React Adverse Drug Event Mo, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [5]Natl Ctr Adverse Drug React Monitoring, Beijing, Peoples R China [6]Zhongnan Univ Econ & Law, Sch Stat & Math, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [7]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, 1095 Jiefang Ave, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, Peoples R China
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关键词: Oxaliplatin Liver injury Adverse drug reaction RUCAM Pharma-covigilance

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Background and Aims: Identifying potential high-risk groups of oxaliplatin-induced liver injury (OILI) is valuable, but tools are lacking. So artificial neural network (ANN) and logistic regression (LR) models will be developed to predict the risk of OILI. Methods: The medical information of pa-tients treated with oxaliplatin between May and November 2016 at 10 hospitals was collected prospectively. We used the updated Roussel Uclaf causality assessment method (RU-CAM) to identify cases of OILI and summarized the patient and medication characteristics. Furthermore, the ANN and LR models for predicting the risk of OILI were developed and evaluated. Results: The incidence of OILI was 3.65%. The median RUCAM score with interquartile range was 6 (4, 9). The ANN model performed similarly to the LR model in sen-sitivity, specificity, and accuracy. In discrimination, the area under the curve of the ANN model was larger (0.920>0.833, p=0.019). In calibration, the ANN model was slightly im-proved. The important predictors of both models overlapped partially, including age, chemotherapy regimens and cycles, single and total dose of OXA, glucocorticoid drugs, and anti-histamine drugs. Conclusions: When the discriminative and calibration ability was given priority, the ANN model outper-formed the LR model in predicting the risk of OILI. Other chemotherapy drugs in oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy regimens could have different degrees of impact on OILI. We suspected that OILI may be idiosyncratic, and chemotherapy dose factors may be weakly correlated. Decision making on prophylactic medications needs to be carefully considered, and the actual preventive effect needed to be supported by more evidence.

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出版当年[2022]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 胃肠肝病学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 胃肠肝病学
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出版当年[2021]版:
Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY
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Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY

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第一作者单位: [1]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Med Coll, Sch Pharm, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [3]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China [7]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Hosp, Tongji Med Coll, 1095 Jiefang Ave, Wuhan 430030, Hubei, Peoples R China
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