To identify the risk factors for postoperative hydrocephalus and the need for ventriculoperitoneal (VP) shunt after posterior fossa tumor (PFT) resection in pediatric patients and establish a predictive model.A total of 217 pediatric patients (≤14 years old) with PFTs who underwent tumor resection from November 2010 to December 2020 were divided into a VP shunt group (n = 29) and non-VP shunt group (n = 188). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed. A predictive model was established based on the independent predictors. Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated to determine the cutoff values and areas under the curve (AUCs). The Delong test was performed to compare the AUCs.Age less than three years (P = 0.015, odds ratio [OR] = 3.760), blood loss (BL) (P = 0.002, OR = 1.601), and locations at fourth ventricle (P < 0.001, OR = 7.697) were the independent predictors. The predictive model was as follows: total score = age (<3; yes = 2, no = 0) + BL + tumor locations (fourth ventricle; yes = 5, no = 0). The AUC of our model was higher than those of age less than three years, BL, locations at the fourth ventricle, and compound factors (age <3 + locations) (0.842 vs 0.609, 0.734, 0.732, and 0.788, respectively). The cutoff values of the model and BL were 7.5 points and 2.75 U, respectively.BL, age less than three years, and tumors at the fourth ventricle were independent predictors. Model scores over 7.5 points predict a high risk.Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Inc.