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Competing risk nomogram for predicting prognosis of patients with spinal and pelvic chordoma: A SEER-based retrospective study

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单位: [1]Department of Orthopaedics,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,430030,China. [2]Department of Orthopaedics, Third Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, 330008, China
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关键词: Chordoma Nomogram Competing risk Cancer-specific death SEER

摘要:
Recently, competing risk nomograms were widely applied to predict prognosis in numerous tumors other than chordoma. Here, we aimed to construct and validate a competing-risk-based prognostic nomogram to predict 3- and 5-year cancer-specific death (CSD) in patients with spinal and pelvic chordoma.All chordoma patient data were abstracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) resource, and a total of 485 chordoma patients were eventually included in this study. Multivariate competing risk model and multivariate Cox model were used to determine independent prognostic factors, respectively, and the results of the two models were compared. Nomogram was employed to visualize the competing risk model. The discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility of this model were evaluated by Harrell concordance index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Ten-fold cross-validation was further utilized to validate the prognostic nomogram.Significant prognostic factors affecting CSD were age (P = 0.016), localized involvement (P < 0.0001), and radical resection (P < 0.001) in the multivariate competing risk model. C-indexes were 0.799 and 0.76, and AUC were 0.812 and 0.778 for 3- and 5-year CSD. Calibration plots demonstrated the nomogram was well-fitted, and DCA indicated good clinical utility. The nomogram showed good performance in the 10-fold cross-validation.We successfully built the first competing-risk-based nomogram to predict clinical outcomes in patients with spinal and pelvic chordoma. This well-established nomogram hopes to help clinicians with precise prognostic assessment and thus improve clinical outcomes.© 2023. The Author(s).

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出版当年[2022]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 骨科 3 区 临床神经病学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 骨科 3 区 临床神经病学
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出版当年[2021]版:
Q2 ORTHOPEDICS Q3 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q1 ORTHOPEDICS Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY

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第一作者单位: [1]Department of Orthopaedics,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,430030,China.
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